Commercial Risk Outlook Report

The Commercial Risk Outlook Report provides an analysis of the current state of Australian businesses from an insolvency and prognostic perspective based on commercial risk data.

This Report analyses industries and regions within Australia where incorporated operating businesses are predicted to face financial distress within the next 12 months. This Report also expands on the drivers behind commercial risk and impacts for business owners, while providing insights from a professional insolvency perspective.

Key Findings

Nationally, the top 5 industries with businesses at high to severe financial risk (in order of the number of businesses) are:

  1. Construction (2007, 2.9%) An decrease of 19 businesses since August 2017
  2. Accommodation and Food Services (1786, 6.6%) A decrease of 82 businesses since August 2017
  3. Retail Trade (1428, 2.9%) An increase of 163 businesses since August 2017
  4. Professional, Scientific and Technical Services (1130, 1.2%) A decrease of 214 businesses since August 2017
  5. Manufacturing (866, 1.9%) An increase of 14 businesses since August 2017

The top 5 regions throughout Queensland, New South Wales and Victoria where businesses are most at risk of financial failure within the next 12 months, according to the number of businesses are:

  1. Melbourne Inner (851, 2.1%)
  2. Sydney – City and Inner South (739, 2.2%)
  3. Parramatta (630, 3.9%)
  4. NSW – Inner South West (499, 4.0%)
  5. Gold Coast (498, 3.2%)

The top 5 regions where businesses are at least risk of financial failure within the next 12 months, according to the number of businesses are:

  1. VIC – Warrnambool and South West (28, 1.1%)
  2. VIC – Bendigo (30, 0.9%)
  3. VIC – North West (34, 1.0%)
  4. QLD – Outback (34, 2.3%)
  5. VIC – Hume (38, 1.0%)

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