March 2018

Commercial Risk Outlook Report – March 2018

SV Partners has released the key findings within the Commercial Risk Outlook Report for March 2018. The Report provides an analysis of the current state of Australian businesses from an insolvency and prognostic perspective based on commercial risk data.

This Report analyses industries and regions within Australia where incorporated operating businesses are predicted to face financial distress within the next 12 months. This Report also expands on the drivers behind commercial risk and impacts for business owners, while providing insights from a professional insolvency perspective.

Download a copy of the SV Partners Commercial Risk Outlook Report – March 2018

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The commercial risk data attempts to predict business financial failure based on the likelihood of adverse events including external administrations, defaults, wind up petitions, Mercantile enquiries, bankruptcies, court writs, default judgements, poor trade payment behaviour and seeking legal relief from creditors. The commercial risk data is comprised of the most comprehensive and latest bureau information available.

Key Findings

Nationally, the top 5 industries with businesses at high to severe financial risk, in order of the number of businesses are:

  1. Construction (1967, 3.0%) An increase of 113 businesses since March 2017
  2. Accommodation and Food Services (1677, 6.4%) A decrease of 4 businesses since March 2017
  3. Retail Trade (1460, 3.0%) An increase of 48 businesses since March 2017
  4. Professional, Scientific and Technical Services (1201, 1.3%) A decrease of 184 businesses since March 2017
  5. Manufacturing (807, 1.8%) An increase of 37 businesses since March 2017

The top 5 regions throughout Queensland, New South Wales and Victoria where businesses are most at risk of financial failure within the next 12 months, according to the number of businesses are:

  1. Melbourne Inner (856, 2.2%)
  2. Sydney – City and Inner South (809, 2.5%)
  3. Parramatta (661, 4.2%)
  4. Gold Coast (508, 3.4%)
  5. NSW – Inner South West (507, 4.3%)

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