March 2019

Commercial Risk Outlook Report

The Commercial Risk Outlook Report provides an analysis of the current state of Australian businesses from an insolvency and prognostic perspective based on commercial risk data.

This Report analyses industries and regions within Australia where incorporated operating businesses are predicted to face financial distress within the next 12 months. This Report also expands on the drivers behind commercial risk and impacts for business owners, while providing insights from a professional insolvency perspective.


Key Findings


Nationally, the top five industries with businesses at high to severe financial risk (in order of the number of businesses) are:

  1. Construction 1,192 (2.4%)
  2. Accommodation and Food Services 1,084 (5.7%)
  3. Retail Trade 916 (2.6%)
  4. Professional, Scientific and Technical Services 660, (0.9%)
  5. Financial and Insurance Service 540 (0.6%)


The top five regions throughout Queensland, New South Wales and Victoria with the highest proportion of total businesses in Australia that are most at risk of financial failure within the next 12 months:

  1. NSW South West 3.6% (251)
  2. Parramatta 3.2% (429)
  3. NSW Inner South West 3.0% (146)
  4. Logan – Beaudesert 3.0% (146)
  5. NSW Outer South West 2.8% (102)


The top five regions where businesses show the largest portion of low to minimal risk of financial failure within the next 12 months, according to proportion of businesses in the low risk band are:

  1. VIC – Latrobe Gippsland 86.4% (3,145)
  2. VIC – Hume 86.4% (2,928)
  3. VIC – Shepparton 85.5% (2,729)
  4. VIC – Bendigo 85.5% (2,510)
  5. VIC – Warnambool & South West 85.3% (2,160)


Download your copy of the Commercial Risk Outlook Report – March 2019

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